Poll differences.

Today's Rasmussen daily tracking poll shows Obama with a 5% lead over McCain, 46 to 41.  The lead remains at 5%, 49 to 44, when leaners are included.  

WOW WOW WOW...rightwing evangelical pollster Scott Rasmussen has Obama jumping in the polls today. He's so far ahead in Minnesota, that even if McSame names Gov. Tim Pawlenty as his running mate, it probably wouldn't help his situation much. Pawlenty is not all that popular in Minnesota right now. As far as Michigan, Mittens Romney isn't really from Michigan, so even he may not even be an asset to McCain!

If I were running the campaign, I would use the next ten days  running Obama and Hillary through Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Indiana, and Missouri to hammer McCain on the economy to cement a narrative that would sink him for the fall campaign. Call it the "PSYCHOLOGICAL RECESSION TOUR"!

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/

The lead Republican incumbent Collins has held over Democrat Tom Allen continues to degrade.  According to Rasmussen, in April, the lead was 16.  In May, it was 10.  Now the June poll has the lead down to 7.  At present the poll is:
Collins 49
Allen   42

Drip. Drip.  Drip.  
http://rasmussenreports.com/...

From Rasmussen:

American voters now trust the Democrats on all ten key electoral issues tracked regularly by Rasmussen Reports. Last month, the GOP’s had an advantage on two issues.

Not surprisingly, the economy is still seen as the most important issue in this year’s presidential campaign--76% of voters say it is a Very Important issue. The Democrats now have a 14-point advantage over the Republicans on this issue, up from eight-points a month ago. Data from the Rasmussen Consumer Index shows that consumer confidence is currently hovering near record lows. Not only is confidence low, three-out-of-four Americans believe that economic conditions are getting worse.

Government Ethics and Corruption is a Very Important issue for 71% of Likely Voters. The Democrats have a huge advantage on this issue—45% now trust them while just 26% prefer the GOP. That lead has also widened since last month, when the Democrats had only a six-point advantage.

Perhaps the biggest surprise comes from the fact that Democrats are now trusted more when it comes to National Security and the War on Terror, an issue long considered a GOP stronghold. The latest polling, however, shows that 49% of voters now trust the Democrats more on this issue while 42% trust the Republicans more. This shift comes at the same time that confidence in the War on Terror has fallen significantly.

This Rasmussen post is chock full of fundamentals... on the war in Iraq, for example:

This month, the Democrats hold an 11-point lead over the Republicans on that issue. Last month, the Democrats led by just two points on that issue. A separate tracking survey has consistently found that six-out-of-ten Americans want troops home from Iraq within a year.

Also, there's more support for the concept that no one wants to be a Republican:

The trust on issues data reflects another significant trend of Election 2008—there is a growing number of people who consider themselves to be Democrats. In fact, the Democrats now have the largest partisan advantage over the Republicans since Rasmussen Reports began tracking this data on a monthly basis nearly six years ago.

Scott Rasmussen notes this may well have  a bigger impact on the congressional than the presidential race. McCain outperforms the Republican party on virtually all the issues, and at this moment in time is trusted more than either Democrat on the economy and Iraq.

Nonetheless, John (100 years in Iraq) McCain has himself a big problem: Americans don't like his party. And, whether McCain likes it or not, he's running as a Republican. Worse than that, on policy, he's running as a Bush Republican. As he tries to thread the needle between running away from Bush and consolidating his base, the intrinsic illogic of McCain's candidacy will come home to roost.

But that's for later. For now, the fundamentals are making Republicans sweat everywhere, from paleo-Republicans like Newt Gingrich to neo-Republicans like Joe Lieberman (whose leverage disappears the day after the election).

This is going to be a rough year on Republicans. Too bad for them.

Rasmussen Reports has posted it's Thursday April 3 Presidential Tracking Poll results under yesterday's dateline.

"Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

Wednesday, April 02, 2008

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Barack Obama with a very slight advantage over Hillary Clinton in the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination. Obama attracts 46% of the vote while Clinton earns 43% (see recent daily results")

Thought it was a bit strange.............

I support Obama and I believe I know what I need to know about him. I’ve read his books and newspaper stories about him going back to the early 90s. I’ve paid close attention to his actions and his words. To me he has great ideas, good judgment and leadership.

So short of finding out he murdered someone or paid $80,000 for weekend prostitutes, I’m going to support him.

Then there are Clinton’s supporters. I won’t argue their points but they are just as supportive of her. I don’t understand why but they are.
What I’d like to know: Is there anyone out there who can be swayed? Are there really Undecideds?

Barack Obama hits 50 percent for the first time in the latest Rasmussen Report daily Presidential Tracking Poll and leads Hillary Clinton by a significant 8 points.

Obama 50 (+2)
Clinton 42 (-1)

More from a Rasmussen:

This is the first time Obama has ever reached 50% in fifteen months of daily polling on the race. Among African-American voters, Obama leads 84% to 9%. Among White voters, Clinton leads 50% to 39%. Two-thirds of voters who now support Clinton are women. Among white women Clinton leads by twenty-five. In Pennsylvania, Clinton leads 51% to 38%.

A new Rasmussen Texas poll is out,
A word of caution though, Rasmussen is predicting a lower than normal turnout among Hispanic voters. So, that might lead one to believe that the SurveyUSA poll may show Clinton up higher. And it's hard to know what kind of effect the last few days may be having. However, there does appear to be some good news among early voters.

Check out these latest results from the Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll. Hillary is surging! That's nearly where she was at after New Hampshire, and the Florida bump hasn't even happened yet. This bodes very well for Feb 5.

Almost daily, for the last few years, I've visited Rasmussen Reports, particularly the page giving the daily poll ratings of Bush's Approval.  You can see it yourself here.

Over the last year, I've come to expect Dubya's disapproval ratings to hover between 56% and 63% - which has always struck me as a serious underestimate of his unpopularity.  What baffles me is the 35% to 42% of polled persons who allegedly identify themselves as approving of his performance.

Graphing it out over the last year (with my own average for December 2007) gives us this picture:

After a brief setback that saw Hillary Clinton's lead sink to single digits between her and closest rival Barack Obama in the national Rasmussen daily presidential tracking poll, she has regained her double digit advantage for the second straight day. Here's how the numbers break down for the past week...

The latest Rasmussen poll has Dennis tied for 4th place with Bill Richardson at 7%.  While not up there with the big three, it's movement in the right direction, and there's time to make up the difference.  It will be interesting to see the reaction after the debate coming up.

In the latest Rasmussen poll thats being reported widely on Ohio blogs Sherrod Brown is surging ahead of Mike DeWHine after their first debate on Meet The Press on last Sunday. Brown now leads 49% to 41%. While DeWHine is still stuck around 40% for months Brown is close to hitting 50% mark.

Brown has also come up with a great TV ad hitting hard DeWHine on 9/11 doctored images, WMDs, missed intell mettings, etc. Checkout the great ad at: http://www.youtube.com/...

There is one other great ad in which a soldier's mother talks about Brown. Watch the ad at: http://www.youtube.com/...

A source from the Webb campaign has e-mailed a heads up that tomorrow's Rasmussen poll will show Webb within five points, and Allen below 50%. According to information received by the campaign, it's polling at 47% to 42%. Last month's Rasumussen poll had the race at 51% to 41%.

The momentum is Webb's. Help keep it going.

Ok, I was hoping to see this without using a diary (since I post so often; didn't want to use my one today) and the open thread is filled. But this Rasmussen poll is great news.

Phil leads Arnie!

With tanks in the Baghdad streets instead of police, and Bin Laden's pals buying our ports, it's getting harder and harder to get the lipstick on this pig hide the fiascos from the mercun people, in spite of the capture of yet another "top Zarqawi aide". Recent Rasmussen polls showed that Americans now trust the Democrats more than Bush in the GWOT.
Now, new Rasmussen polls are being released which show

Just 39% of Americans now believe the U.S. and its allies are winning the War on Terror. That's down from 42% earlier this month and from 44% in January. ... 36% now believe the terrorists are winning... up five points over the past two weeks and up ten points since ...January.
In December, 50% ...thought the U.S. and its allies were winning. Just 25% took the opposite view.

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